Try RadioCut Premium. It's ads-free! :)

What Nate Silver's learned about forecasting elections


October 22, 2018 06:00

00:00 / 81:24

This close to an election, who do I want to hear from? Nate Silver, of course.
I sat down with the FiveThirtyEight founder and math wizard to talk about how
he builds his forecasting models, what they’re saying about 2018, how big the
Democrats’ structural disadvantage in the House and Senate really is, whether
there's a purpose to predicting election outcomes, which campaign reporters he
reads, and whether Trump is the favorite for 2020. Silver and I also share the
experience of building journalism outlets trying to do things a bit
differently over the past five years, so we discuss what he’s learned along
the way, what he wishes he knew at the beginning, and how he hires. Silver
brings unusual clarity and rigor to the topics he focuses on, and right now,
given the speed and intensity of the elections news cycle, a bit of rigor is a
welcome thing. Enjoy! Thinking Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman Bad Blood by
John Carreyrou Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom Read more
{"autoscroll": false}
19:19 20:41

We are sorry, audio play could not be started. Please try again in a few minutes

Send us the error detail
  • vox-pod
  • 1413930000
  • podcastepisode
  • /radiostation/vox-pod/has_recordings_at/1413930000
  • 0
  • US/Eastern
  • -240
  • /pcastepisode/playing/111277/

We're sorry. We do not have this radio recordings for the time requested. You can click on 'Change' to go to another day or time. This radio is recorded Lun-Dom 0-23:59

--:-- → --:-- (0 s)
The cut starts from the position where you clicked Cut, marked with the icon [ and ends at the current position (@) when you "Save" or you may also clic on "Mark end of cut" and continue listening to the radio while filling up the form fields to then "Save".
Please enter a descriptive title for the audio cut
Please enter a more detailed description for the audio cut
Separate tags with commas (,)
Uploaded image size must not exceed 50kb
To create hidden or private cuts you must have a premium account
Get a premium account now
The cut should be at least 5 seconds long